Weekly Market Analysis - For Monday, November 2nd


Market Spends Most Of Week In Retreat
   



Weekly Market Recap:

S&P 500 Sells Off Hard On Friday - Closes Below 50-Day SMA

Monday 10/26,   The markets finally buckled from a technical standpoint and slid hard to close down below the 5-Day moving average. It was a broad-based selloff that had been building for several days as the S&P 500 stalled out just at the 1,100 resistance level. The Dow dropped -104.22 or -1.05%. The Nasdaq lost -12.62 or -0.59% and the S&P 500 was lower by -12.65 or -1.17% to close at 1,066.95. At this point, look for the market to sell down the 50-day moving average where will likely see a bounce.

Tuesday 10/27,    After a brief attempt at bouncing after the open, the market continued its slide although muted. The Dow gained slightly rising +14.21 or +0.14%. The Nasdaq dropped -25.76 or -1.20% and the S&P 500 slipped -3.54 or -0.33% to finish at 1,063.41. Its highly likely at this point the S&P will dip down to at least touch it 50-day SMA at 1,050 before there is any larger scale rebound.

Wednesday 10/28,    The market renewed its downward slide and spent virturally hour on the retreat. Most notable was the plunge of the S&P 500 right through its 50-day SMA closing below it. The Dow shed -119.48 or -1.21%, the Nasdaq -56.48 or -2.67% and the S&P 500 dropped -20.78 or -1.95% to close at 1,042.63. Today was another long range down day and we are really in free fall. The S&P has lost 59 points or 5.4% from its pivot high on 10/21 just 6 trading days ago. Next level of support for the index is the range from 1,035 down to 1,020.

Thursday 10/29, The market experienced a wild sling-shot syle techenical bounce today off of its 50-day SMA. The Dow shot up +199.89 +2.05% The Nasdaq 2 gained +37.94 or +1.84% and the the S&P 500 reclaimed +23.48 or +2.25%. The S&P 500 was able to close slightly above the 5-Day SMA as well as the 30-min. on the 60-day. Before you get to excited keep in mind that the index is still below the 1,080 level and now below a downward sloping overhead resistance line. See Daily Chart. We could see some follow through momentum to the upside on Friday but after that its anyones guess.

Friday 10/30, The markets experienced another rough day of selling one day after bouncing back from the previous drop. It was a broad based sell-off with 95% of the S&P 500 ending the day lower. The Dow ended the day down -249.85 or -2.51% while the Nasdaq lost -52.44 or -2.50%. The S&P 500 shed -29.92 or -2.81% to end the day deeper still below its 50-day SMA at 1,036.19.

Watch how the S&P 500 responds below the 50-day SMA. - See Chart Below

   







What To Expect This Week

What To Expect This Week   The market experienced a heavy week of selling last week and an especially stron day of selling to put the markets below the 50-Day SMA as well as a breakdown of a support trendline of 4 months. Although we are likely to see a knee-jerk reaction bounce sometime this week, we have experienced a major technical shift now with this trendline break and we are likely to see profit taking continue in stocks now over the coming days and weeks.






S&P 500 pulled back below its 30-period SMA on the 60-min. chart




Oil is trading in a range along its 50-day SMA.




GOLD has busted out above the $1000 an ounce level.